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If trump keeps tweeting about chinese tariffs

Posted: Fri Apr 06, 2018 6:32 pm
by ElbertoHokie
for the next 2 months, whether he actually enacts them or not, it's going to be rocky on Wall Street.

Re: If trump keeps tweeting about chinese tariffs

Posted: Fri Apr 06, 2018 7:51 pm
by cwtcr hokie
ElbertoHokie wrote:for the next 2 months, whether he actually enacts them or not, it's going to be rocky on Wall Street.
Or the Chinese could open their markets and stop making it so difficult for US companies to operate there and stop subsidizing some of their industries which makes our products not competitive. Maybe while they are at it they can adhere to the same epa rules we do and the same labor rules. just a thought

Re: If trump keeps tweeting about chinese tariffs

Posted: Fri Apr 06, 2018 8:13 pm
by HvilleHokie
cwtcr hokie wrote:
ElbertoHokie wrote:for the next 2 months, whether he actually enacts them or not, it's going to be rocky on Wall Street.
Or the Chinese could open their markets and stop making it so difficult for US companies to operate there and stop subsidizing some of their industries which makes our products not competitive. Maybe while they are at it they can adhere to the same epa rules we do and the same labor rules. just a thought
Image

Re: If trump keeps tweeting about chinese tariffs

Posted: Fri Apr 06, 2018 8:33 pm
by VisorBoy
cwtcr hokie wrote:
ElbertoHokie wrote:for the next 2 months, whether he actually enacts them or not, it's going to be rocky on Wall Street.
Or the Chinese could open their markets and stop making it so difficult for US companies to operate there and stop subsidizing some of their industries which makes our products not competitive. Maybe while they are at it they can adhere to the same epa rules we do and the same labor rules. just a thought
There are better ways to go about that than tariff wars. Ask nearly any economist.

Also, your talking points are a bit dated. China's improvements in environmental policy are notable.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/14/opin ... wrong.html

Re: If trump keeps tweeting about chinese tariffs

Posted: Fri Apr 06, 2018 8:41 pm
by USN_Hokie
VisorBoy wrote: Also, your talking points are a bit dated. China's improvements in environmental policy are notable.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/14/opin ... wrong.html
Oh, bullshit

Re: If trump keeps tweeting about chinese tariffs

Posted: Fri Apr 06, 2018 9:17 pm
by Jack Galt
VisorBoy wrote:
cwtcr hokie wrote:
ElbertoHokie wrote:for the next 2 months, whether he actually enacts them or not, it's going to be rocky on Wall Street.
Or the Chinese could open their markets and stop making it so difficult for US companies to operate there and stop subsidizing some of their industries which makes our products not competitive. Maybe while they are at it they can adhere to the same epa rules we do and the same labor rules. just a thought
There are better ways to go about that than tariff wars. Ask nearly any economist.

Also, your talking points are a bit dated. China's improvements in environmental policy are notable.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/14/opin ... wrong.html
Fake News seems to disagree about smog in China, just 4 days later.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/wor ... 046241001/

So, would you provide some suggestions, other than tariffs, to be able to better protect the intellectual property generated here and exploited by China, as well as addressing the trade imbalance with China? TIA.

Re: If trump keeps tweeting about chinese tariffs

Posted: Fri Apr 06, 2018 11:50 pm
by VisorBoy
Jack Galt wrote:
VisorBoy wrote:
cwtcr hokie wrote:
ElbertoHokie wrote:for the next 2 months, whether he actually enacts them or not, it's going to be rocky on Wall Street.
Or the Chinese could open their markets and stop making it so difficult for US companies to operate there and stop subsidizing some of their industries which makes our products not competitive. Maybe while they are at it they can adhere to the same epa rules we do and the same labor rules. just a thought
There are better ways to go about that than tariff wars. Ask nearly any economist.

Also, your talking points are a bit dated. China's improvements in environmental policy are notable.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/14/opin ... wrong.html
Fake News seems to disagree about smog in China, just 4 days later.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/wor ... 046241001/

So, would you provide some suggestions, other than tariffs, to be able to better protect the intellectual property generated here and exploited by China, as well as addressing the trade imbalance with China? TIA.
Did you read the article you linked?

The concentration of toxic fine air particles — also known as PM2.5 — in these northeastern cities fell 33% last year, Greenpeace East Asia reports.

It is not my contention that 'all is well'. Simply that the trope of China not doing anything about their environmental problems is dated.

My recommendation for a way forward on IP and trade is to sit down and negotiate with China. This is one of the sitting President's strong suits, is it not? Flipping the tariff switch has unpredictable consequences, and hence is reckless.

Re: If trump keeps tweeting about chinese tariffs

Posted: Sat Apr 07, 2018 12:16 am
by awesome guy
VisorBoy wrote:
Jack Galt wrote:
VisorBoy wrote:
cwtcr hokie wrote:
ElbertoHokie wrote:for the next 2 months, whether he actually enacts them or not, it's going to be rocky on Wall Street.
Or the Chinese could open their markets and stop making it so difficult for US companies to operate there and stop subsidizing some of their industries which makes our products not competitive. Maybe while they are at it they can adhere to the same epa rules we do and the same labor rules. just a thought
There are better ways to go about that than tariff wars. Ask nearly any economist.

Also, your talking points are a bit dated. China's improvements in environmental policy are notable.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/14/opin ... wrong.html
Fake News seems to disagree about smog in China, just 4 days later.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/wor ... 046241001/

So, would you provide some suggestions, other than tariffs, to be able to better protect the intellectual property generated here and exploited by China, as well as addressing the trade imbalance with China? TIA.
Did you read the article you linked?

The concentration of toxic fine air particles — also known as PM2.5 — in these northeastern cities fell 33% last year, Greenpeace East Asia reports.

It is not my contention that 'all is well'. Simply that the trope of China not doing anything about their environmental problems is dated.

My recommendation for a way forward on IP and trade is to sit down and negotiate with China. This is one of the sitting President's strong suits, is it not? Flipping the tariff switch has unpredictable consequences, and hence is reckless.
Why do you claim tariffs are unpredictable?

Re: If trump keeps tweeting about chinese tariffs

Posted: Sat Apr 07, 2018 1:01 am
by Jack Galt
VisorBoy wrote:
Jack Galt wrote:
VisorBoy wrote:
cwtcr hokie wrote:
ElbertoHokie wrote:for the next 2 months, whether he actually enacts them or not, it's going to be rocky on Wall Street.
Or the Chinese could open their markets and stop making it so difficult for US companies to operate there and stop subsidizing some of their industries which makes our products not competitive. Maybe while they are at it they can adhere to the same epa rules we do and the same labor rules. just a thought
There are better ways to go about that than tariff wars. Ask nearly any economist.

Also, your talking points are a bit dated. China's improvements in environmental policy are notable.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/14/opin ... wrong.html
Fake News seems to disagree about smog in China, just 4 days later.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/wor ... 046241001/

So, would you provide some suggestions, other than tariffs, to be able to better protect the intellectual property generated here and exploited by China, as well as addressing the trade imbalance with China? TIA.
Did you read the article you linked?

The concentration of toxic fine air particles — also known as PM2.5 — in these northeastern cities fell 33% last year, Greenpeace East Asia reports.

It is not my contention that 'all is well'. Simply that the trope of China not doing anything about their environmental problems is dated.

My recommendation for a way forward on IP and trade is to sit down and negotiate with China. This is one of the sitting President's strong suits, is it not? Flipping the tariff switch has unpredictable consequences, and hence is reckless.
The real question is did YOU read the article I linked? The next few paragraphs were...
But impressive as this sounds, citizens of China's great metropolises won't be putting away their pollution masks just yet.

In fact, the cut in PM2.5 in the northeastern provinces was only partly down to the coal heating ban, with favorable weather conditions, such as stronger northern winds also playing a major role, according to the Greenpeace analysis.

Across the country as a whole, PM2.5 only dropped 4.5% last year — the smallest annual decrease since China declared its "war on pollution" in 2013.

Greenpeace estimates that even this improvement will have spared 160,000 people across the country a premature death last year.

But in many of the industrial cities not subject to the strict regulations imposed in the northeast, air pollution actually got worse. In Heilongjiang province, emissions from industries like steel production pushed particle levels up 10%.
C'mon, man! China may be doing some things to improve their environmental problems, but like most things China, they crow about the things that make them look good and hide the things that don't. As Kong has stated multiple times, there are plenty of proven, inexpensive technologies that China could use to make a real difference that isn't implemented.


As for trade, I agree that negotiations MIGHT work. For those to work, China would actually have to abide by the deal. Which, based on the past, isn't guaranteed.

As for IP, no amount of negotiations is going to keep China honest. They have literally reproduced American products that they stole the TDP for right down to the data plates on the parts. With the American companies name and that company's part numbers on them.

I trust China about as much as I trust Russia. Maybe less.

I don't know if Trump is trying to use all this as a bargaining chip or if he's playing a high stakes game of stupid. Only time will tell.

Re: If trump keeps tweeting about chinese tariffs

Posted: Sat Apr 07, 2018 1:29 pm
by HokieJoe
Jack Galt wrote:
VisorBoy wrote:
Jack Galt wrote:
VisorBoy wrote:
cwtcr hokie wrote:
ElbertoHokie wrote:for the next 2 months, whether he actually enacts them or not, it's going to be rocky on Wall Street.
Or the Chinese could open their markets and stop making it so difficult for US companies to operate there and stop subsidizing some of their industries which makes our products not competitive. Maybe while they are at it they can adhere to the same epa rules we do and the same labor rules. just a thought
There are better ways to go about that than tariff wars. Ask nearly any economist.

Also, your talking points are a bit dated. China's improvements in environmental policy are notable.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/14/opin ... wrong.html
Fake News seems to disagree about smog in China, just 4 days later.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/wor ... 046241001/

So, would you provide some suggestions, other than tariffs, to be able to better protect the intellectual property generated here and exploited by China, as well as addressing the trade imbalance with China? TIA.
Did you read the article you linked?

The concentration of toxic fine air particles — also known as PM2.5 — in these northeastern cities fell 33% last year, Greenpeace East Asia reports.

It is not my contention that 'all is well'. Simply that the trope of China not doing anything about their environmental problems is dated.

My recommendation for a way forward on IP and trade is to sit down and negotiate with China. This is one of the sitting President's strong suits, is it not? Flipping the tariff switch has unpredictable consequences, and hence is reckless.
The real question is did YOU read the article I linked? The next few paragraphs were...
But impressive as this sounds, citizens of China's great metropolises won't be putting away their pollution masks just yet.

In fact, the cut in PM2.5 in the northeastern provinces was only partly down to the coal heating ban, with favorable weather conditions, such as stronger northern winds also playing a major role, according to the Greenpeace analysis.

Across the country as a whole, PM2.5 only dropped 4.5% last year — the smallest annual decrease since China declared its "war on pollution" in 2013.

Greenpeace estimates that even this improvement will have spared 160,000 people across the country a premature death last year.

But in many of the industrial cities not subject to the strict regulations imposed in the northeast, air pollution actually got worse. In Heilongjiang province, emissions from industries like steel production pushed particle levels up 10%.
C'mon, man! China may be doing some things to improve their environmental problems, but like most things China, they crow about the things that make them look good and hide the things that don't. As Kong has stated multiple times, there are plenty of proven, inexpensive technologies that China could use to make a real difference that isn't implemented.


As for trade, I agree that negotiations MIGHT work. For those to work, China would actually have to abide by the deal. Which, based on the past, isn't guaranteed.

As for IP, no amount of negotiations is going to keep China honest. They have literally reproduced American products that they stole the TDP for right down to the data plates on the parts. With the American companies name and that company's part numbers on them.

I trust China about as much as I trust Russia. Maybe less.

I don't know if Trump is trying to use all this as a bargaining chip or if he's playing a high stakes game of stupid. Only time will tell.

Based on China's contemporary trade history, it is almost a certainty that they will not live up to agreed upon obligations.

Re: If trump keeps tweeting about chinese tariffs

Posted: Sat Apr 07, 2018 1:35 pm
by RiverguyVT
Lol. Yeah. China’s air pollution problem has been licked. :lol:
That’s the ticket.

Re: If trump keeps tweeting about chinese tariffs

Posted: Sun Apr 08, 2018 2:10 pm
by HokieHam
Hahahaha. Sometimes I wonder......

Re: If trump keeps tweeting about chinese tariffs

Posted: Mon Apr 09, 2018 3:21 pm
by cwtcr hokie
HvilleHokie wrote:
cwtcr hokie wrote:
ElbertoHokie wrote:for the next 2 months, whether he actually enacts them or not, it's going to be rocky on Wall Street.
Or the Chinese could open their markets and stop making it so difficult for US companies to operate there and stop subsidizing some of their industries which makes our products not competitive. Maybe while they are at it they can adhere to the same epa rules we do and the same labor rules. just a thought
Image
OR we could do what past admins have done and do nothing and hope it gets better... hint... it won't. And most economists will tell you that sooner or later the USA better try and make the trade more balanced and fair for the long term economy of the USA..... yes Trump has the balls to try and do something, I know this is shocking to folks like you that worshipped Obummer

Re: If trump keeps tweeting about chinese tariffs

Posted: Tue Apr 10, 2018 4:05 pm
by TheH2
Jack Galt wrote:
VisorBoy wrote:
cwtcr hokie wrote:
ElbertoHokie wrote:for the next 2 months, whether he actually enacts them or not, it's going to be rocky on Wall Street.
Or the Chinese could open their markets and stop making it so difficult for US companies to operate there and stop subsidizing some of their industries which makes our products not competitive. Maybe while they are at it they can adhere to the same epa rules we do and the same labor rules. just a thought
There are better ways to go about that than tariff wars. Ask nearly any economist.

Also, your talking points are a bit dated. China's improvements in environmental policy are notable.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/14/opin ... wrong.html
Fake News seems to disagree about smog in China, just 4 days later.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/wor ... 046241001/

So, would you provide some suggestions, other than tariffs, to be able to better protect the intellectual property generated here and exploited by China, as well as addressing the trade imbalance with China? TIA.
First, the trade imbalance is meaningless. We consume more than we produce, therefore, we have a trade deficit. China makes a lot of stuff that we don't, that's not changing. There are also examples as to why the number is actually wrong. For example, the iphone is assembled in China but produced around Asia. The full deficit is attributed to China. Also, mfg is about 1/3 of the retail value of the iphone, which is a huge net benefit to the US, while still adding to the trade deficit.

Second, the tariffs were crude and ill timed. For example, China has significantly reduced its supply of steel over the last couple years. So, where historically one could point to dumping, that isn't the case anymore. Also, mfg is about 10% of the US economy. Therefore, a 10% boost to mfg only boosts GDP by 1%. Now consider that steel will directly effect several industries including construction, auto, aero; the idea of saving a couple thousand jobs to the detriment of several industries is not good policy.

There are plenty of steps the US could take. The first would have been to sign the TPP. Since tariffs are actually quite low on trade, the goal of TPP was to reduce state support. This is the heart of the issue with China. The US could set the table for trade between a lot of Asia, and work to get China into the deal. Other approaches could be more targeted. Let's address the problem - IP theft, not just add tariffs to random products. We have a mass market as well and could suspend the use of products in the US. Steal aerospace IP, work to shut off Chinese suppliers of products - not always possible, I know. Some of this is already done and it is just a misconception about our policies. The US has prevented China from entering the US (https://www.ft.com/content/b3bfe924-185 ... c814761640) and has all but banned Huwei going forward. This gets to the heart of the issue, not blunt tariffs.

The US has also done really well by operating in China. Certainly there have been issues, but the China market, and labor has been very beneficial for the U.S. People fail to look at the entire picture. A couple of examples being Yum brands, Ford/GM (no matter how much China tries to support the industry, they continue to fail), Nike, Apple, just to name a few. There is even a cola war in China.

Re: If trump keeps tweeting about chinese tariffs

Posted: Tue Apr 10, 2018 4:20 pm
by CFB Apologist
USN_Hokie wrote:
VisorBoy wrote: Also, your talking points are a bit dated. China's improvements in environmental policy are notable.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/14/opin ... wrong.html
Oh, bullshit
No kidding.. I love it. If Trump tweeted that he was a VT fan, liberal VT alumni would root for UVA. Clockwork

Re: If trump keeps tweeting about chinese tariffs

Posted: Tue Apr 10, 2018 4:23 pm
by RiverguyVT
CFB Apologist wrote:
USN_Hokie wrote:
VisorBoy wrote: Also, your talking points are a bit dated. China's improvements in environmental policy are notable.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/14/opin ... wrong.html
Oh, bullshit
No kidding.. I love it. If Trump tweeted that he was a VT fan, liberal VT alumni would root for UVA. Clockwork
Yup

Re: If trump keeps tweeting about chinese tariffs

Posted: Tue Apr 10, 2018 4:38 pm
by HokieFanDC
CFB Apologist wrote:
USN_Hokie wrote:
VisorBoy wrote: Also, your talking points are a bit dated. China's improvements in environmental policy are notable.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/14/opin ... wrong.html
Oh, bullshit
No kidding.. I love it. If Trump tweeted that he was a VT fan, liberal VT alumni would root for UVA. Clockwork
You may be right, but I don't think I've seen anyone decide to stop rooting for VT b/c Bannon is an alum.

Re: If trump keeps tweeting about chinese tariffs

Posted: Tue Apr 10, 2018 8:58 pm
by 133743Hokie
TheH2 wrote:
Jack Galt wrote:
VisorBoy wrote:
cwtcr hokie wrote:
ElbertoHokie wrote:for the next 2 months, whether he actually enacts them or not, it's going to be rocky on Wall Street.
Or the Chinese could open their markets and stop making it so difficult for US companies to operate there and stop subsidizing some of their industries which makes our products not competitive. Maybe while they are at it they can adhere to the same epa rules we do and the same labor rules. just a thought
There are better ways to go about that than tariff wars. Ask nearly any economist.

Also, your talking points are a bit dated. China's improvements in environmental policy are notable.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/14/opin ... wrong.html
Fake News seems to disagree about smog in China, just 4 days later.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/wor ... 046241001/

So, would you provide some suggestions, other than tariffs, to be able to better protect the intellectual property generated here and exploited by China, as well as addressing the trade imbalance with China? TIA.
First, the trade imbalance is meaningless. We consume more than we produce, therefore, we have a trade deficit. China makes a lot of stuff that we don't, that's not changing. There are also examples as to why the number is actually wrong. For example, the iphone is assembled in China but produced around Asia. The full deficit is attributed to China. Also, mfg is about 1/3 of the retail value of the iphone, which is a huge net benefit to the US, while still adding to the trade deficit.

Second, the tariffs were crude and ill timed. For example, China has significantly reduced its supply of steel over the last couple years. So, where historically one could point to dumping, that isn't the case anymore. Also, mfg is about 10% of the US economy. Therefore, a 10% boost to mfg only boosts GDP by 1%. Now consider that steel will directly effect several industries including construction, auto, aero; the idea of saving a couple thousand jobs to the detriment of several industries is not good policy.

There are plenty of steps the US could take. The first would have been to sign the TPP. Since tariffs are actually quite low on trade, the goal of TPP was to reduce state support. This is the heart of the issue with China. The US could set the table for trade between a lot of Asia, and work to get China into the deal. Other approaches could be more targeted. Let's address the problem - IP theft, not just add tariffs to random products. We have a mass market as well and could suspend the use of products in the US. Steal aerospace IP, work to shut off Chinese suppliers of products - not always possible, I know. Some of this is already done and it is just a misconception about our policies. The US has prevented China from entering the US (https://www.ft.com/content/b3bfe924-185 ... c814761640) and has all but banned Huwei going forward. This gets to the heart of the issue, not blunt tariffs.

The US has also done really well by operating in China. Certainly there have been issues, but the China market, and labor has been very beneficial for the U.S. People fail to look at the entire picture. A couple of examples being Yum brands, Ford/GM (no matter how much China tries to support the industry, they continue to fail), Nike, Apple, just to name a few. There is even a cola war in China.
The core issue is the stealing of IP and trade secrets. This tariff war is just a means to get towards a resolution on that matter.

Re: If trump keeps tweeting about chinese tariffs

Posted: Tue Apr 10, 2018 9:00 pm
by awesome guy
133743Hokie wrote:
TheH2 wrote:
Jack Galt wrote:
VisorBoy wrote:
cwtcr hokie wrote:
ElbertoHokie wrote:for the next 2 months, whether he actually enacts them or not, it's going to be rocky on Wall Street.
Or the Chinese could open their markets and stop making it so difficult for US companies to operate there and stop subsidizing some of their industries which makes our products not competitive. Maybe while they are at it they can adhere to the same epa rules we do and the same labor rules. just a thought
There are better ways to go about that than tariff wars. Ask nearly any economist.

Also, your talking points are a bit dated. China's improvements in environmental policy are notable.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/14/opin ... wrong.html
Fake News seems to disagree about smog in China, just 4 days later.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/wor ... 046241001/

So, would you provide some suggestions, other than tariffs, to be able to better protect the intellectual property generated here and exploited by China, as well as addressing the trade imbalance with China? TIA.
First, the trade imbalance is meaningless. We consume more than we produce, therefore, we have a trade deficit. China makes a lot of stuff that we don't, that's not changing. There are also examples as to why the number is actually wrong. For example, the iphone is assembled in China but produced around Asia. The full deficit is attributed to China. Also, mfg is about 1/3 of the retail value of the iphone, which is a huge net benefit to the US, while still adding to the trade deficit.

Second, the tariffs were crude and ill timed. For example, China has significantly reduced its supply of steel over the last couple years. So, where historically one could point to dumping, that isn't the case anymore. Also, mfg is about 10% of the US economy. Therefore, a 10% boost to mfg only boosts GDP by 1%. Now consider that steel will directly effect several industries including construction, auto, aero; the idea of saving a couple thousand jobs to the detriment of several industries is not good policy.

There are plenty of steps the US could take. The first would have been to sign the TPP. Since tariffs are actually quite low on trade, the goal of TPP was to reduce state support. This is the heart of the issue with China. The US could set the table for trade between a lot of Asia, and work to get China into the deal. Other approaches could be more targeted. Let's address the problem - IP theft, not just add tariffs to random products. We have a mass market as well and could suspend the use of products in the US. Steal aerospace IP, work to shut off Chinese suppliers of products - not always possible, I know. Some of this is already done and it is just a misconception about our policies. The US has prevented China from entering the US (https://www.ft.com/content/b3bfe924-185 ... c814761640) and has all but banned Huwei going forward. This gets to the heart of the issue, not blunt tariffs.

The US has also done really well by operating in China. Certainly there have been issues, but the China market, and labor has been very beneficial for the U.S. People fail to look at the entire picture. A couple of examples being Yum brands, Ford/GM (no matter how much China tries to support the industry, they continue to fail), Nike, Apple, just to name a few. There is even a cola war in China.
The core issue is the stealing of IP and trade secrets. This tariff war is just a means to get towards a resolution on that matter.
Nah, core issue is destroying the middle class. Corp profits are great and all, but this is about restoring the middle class jobs.

Re: If trump keeps tweeting about chinese tariffs

Posted: Wed Apr 11, 2018 1:43 pm
by TheH2
133743Hokie wrote:
TheH2 wrote:
Jack Galt wrote:
VisorBoy wrote:
cwtcr hokie wrote:
ElbertoHokie wrote:for the next 2 months, whether he actually enacts them or not, it's going to be rocky on Wall Street.
Or the Chinese could open their markets and stop making it so difficult for US companies to operate there and stop subsidizing some of their industries which makes our products not competitive. Maybe while they are at it they can adhere to the same epa rules we do and the same labor rules. just a thought
There are better ways to go about that than tariff wars. Ask nearly any economist.

Also, your talking points are a bit dated. China's improvements in environmental policy are notable.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/14/opin ... wrong.html
Fake News seems to disagree about smog in China, just 4 days later.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/wor ... 046241001/

So, would you provide some suggestions, other than tariffs, to be able to better protect the intellectual property generated here and exploited by China, as well as addressing the trade imbalance with China? TIA.
First, the trade imbalance is meaningless. We consume more than we produce, therefore, we have a trade deficit. China makes a lot of stuff that we don't, that's not changing. There are also examples as to why the number is actually wrong. For example, the iphone is assembled in China but produced around Asia. The full deficit is attributed to China. Also, mfg is about 1/3 of the retail value of the iphone, which is a huge net benefit to the US, while still adding to the trade deficit.

Second, the tariffs were crude and ill timed. For example, China has significantly reduced its supply of steel over the last couple years. So, where historically one could point to dumping, that isn't the case anymore. Also, mfg is about 10% of the US economy. Therefore, a 10% boost to mfg only boosts GDP by 1%. Now consider that steel will directly effect several industries including construction, auto, aero; the idea of saving a couple thousand jobs to the detriment of several industries is not good policy.

There are plenty of steps the US could take. The first would have been to sign the TPP. Since tariffs are actually quite low on trade, the goal of TPP was to reduce state support. This is the heart of the issue with China. The US could set the table for trade between a lot of Asia, and work to get China into the deal. Other approaches could be more targeted. Let's address the problem - IP theft, not just add tariffs to random products. We have a mass market as well and could suspend the use of products in the US. Steal aerospace IP, work to shut off Chinese suppliers of products - not always possible, I know. Some of this is already done and it is just a misconception about our policies. The US has prevented China from entering the US (https://www.ft.com/content/b3bfe924-185 ... c814761640) and has all but banned Huwei going forward. This gets to the heart of the issue, not blunt tariffs.

The US has also done really well by operating in China. Certainly there have been issues, but the China market, and labor has been very beneficial for the U.S. People fail to look at the entire picture. A couple of examples being Yum brands, Ford/GM (no matter how much China tries to support the industry, they continue to fail), Nike, Apple, just to name a few. There is even a cola war in China.
The core issue is the stealing of IP and trade secrets. This tariff war is just a means to get towards a resolution on that matter.
I addressed this as well (bold)

Re: If trump keeps tweeting about chinese tariffs

Posted: Wed Apr 11, 2018 2:09 pm
by 133743Hokie
TheH2 wrote:
133743Hokie wrote:
TheH2 wrote:
Jack Galt wrote:
VisorBoy wrote:
cwtcr hokie wrote:
Or the Chinese could open their markets and stop making it so difficult for US companies to operate there and stop subsidizing some of their industries which makes our products not competitive. Maybe while they are at it they can adhere to the same epa rules we do and the same labor rules. just a thought
There are better ways to go about that than tariff wars. Ask nearly any economist.

Also, your talking points are a bit dated. China's improvements in environmental policy are notable.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/14/opin ... wrong.html
Fake News seems to disagree about smog in China, just 4 days later.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/wor ... 046241001/

So, would you provide some suggestions, other than tariffs, to be able to better protect the intellectual property generated here and exploited by China, as well as addressing the trade imbalance with China? TIA.
First, the trade imbalance is meaningless. We consume more than we produce, therefore, we have a trade deficit. China makes a lot of stuff that we don't, that's not changing. There are also examples as to why the number is actually wrong. For example, the iphone is assembled in China but produced around Asia. The full deficit is attributed to China. Also, mfg is about 1/3 of the retail value of the iphone, which is a huge net benefit to the US, while still adding to the trade deficit.

Second, the tariffs were crude and ill timed. For example, China has significantly reduced its supply of steel over the last couple years. So, where historically one could point to dumping, that isn't the case anymore. Also, mfg is about 10% of the US economy. Therefore, a 10% boost to mfg only boosts GDP by 1%. Now consider that steel will directly effect several industries including construction, auto, aero; the idea of saving a couple thousand jobs to the detriment of several industries is not good policy.

There are plenty of steps the US could take. The first would have been to sign the TPP. Since tariffs are actually quite low on trade, the goal of TPP was to reduce state support. This is the heart of the issue with China. The US could set the table for trade between a lot of Asia, and work to get China into the deal. Other approaches could be more targeted. Let's address the problem - IP theft, not just add tariffs to random products. We have a mass market as well and could suspend the use of products in the US. Steal aerospace IP, work to shut off Chinese suppliers of products - not always possible, I know. Some of this is already done and it is just a misconception about our policies. The US has prevented China from entering the US (https://www.ft.com/content/b3bfe924-185 ... c814761640) and has all but banned Huwei going forward. This gets to the heart of the issue, not blunt tariffs.

The US has also done really well by operating in China. Certainly there have been issues, but the China market, and labor has been very beneficial for the U.S. People fail to look at the entire picture. A couple of examples being Yum brands, Ford/GM (no matter how much China tries to support the industry, they continue to fail), Nike, Apple, just to name a few. There is even a cola war in China.
The core issue is the stealing of IP and trade secrets. This tariff war is just a means to get towards a resolution on that matter.
I addressed this as well (bold)
Just responding to your statement "...the goal of TPP was to reduce state support. This is the heart of the issue with China." IMO IP and stealing trade secrets is the heart of the issue. Tariffs are secondary.

Re: If trump keeps tweeting about chinese tariffs

Posted: Wed Apr 11, 2018 2:15 pm
by TheH2
133743Hokie wrote: Just responding to your statement "...the goal of TPP was to reduce state support. This is the heart of the issue with China." IMO IP and stealing trade secrets is the heart of the issue. Tariffs are secondary.
I get that. I also said IP theft was the problem and tossed out a couple of ideas. I'm not writing a thesis here :)

Re: If trump keeps tweeting about chinese tariffs

Posted: Thu Apr 12, 2018 7:52 pm
by TheH2
TheH2 wrote:
Jack Galt wrote:
VisorBoy wrote:
cwtcr hokie wrote:
ElbertoHokie wrote:for the next 2 months, whether he actually enacts them or not, it's going to be rocky on Wall Street.
Or the Chinese could open their markets and stop making it so difficult for US companies to operate there and stop subsidizing some of their industries which makes our products not competitive. Maybe while they are at it they can adhere to the same epa rules we do and the same labor rules. just a thought
There are better ways to go about that than tariff wars. Ask nearly any economist.

Also, your talking points are a bit dated. China's improvements in environmental policy are notable.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/14/opin ... wrong.html
Fake News seems to disagree about smog in China, just 4 days later.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/wor ... 046241001/

So, would you provide some suggestions, other than tariffs, to be able to better protect the intellectual property generated here and exploited by China, as well as addressing the trade imbalance with China? TIA.
First, the trade imbalance is meaningless. We consume more than we produce, therefore, we have a trade deficit. China makes a lot of stuff that we don't, that's not changing. There are also examples as to why the number is actually wrong. For example, the iphone is assembled in China but produced around Asia. The full deficit is attributed to China. Also, mfg is about 1/3 of the retail value of the iphone, which is a huge net benefit to the US, while still adding to the trade deficit.

Second, the tariffs were crude and ill timed. For example, China has significantly reduced its supply of steel over the last couple years. So, where historically one could point to dumping, that isn't the case anymore. Also, mfg is about 10% of the US economy. Therefore, a 10% boost to mfg only boosts GDP by 1%. Now consider that steel will directly effect several industries including construction, auto, aero; the idea of saving a couple thousand jobs to the detriment of several industries is not good policy.

There are plenty of steps the US could take. The first would have been to sign the TPP. Since tariffs are actually quite low on trade, the goal of TPP was to reduce state support. This is the heart of the issue with China. The US could set the table for trade between a lot of Asia, and work to get China into the deal. Other approaches could be more targeted. Let's address the problem - IP theft, not just add tariffs to random products. We have a mass market as well and could suspend the use of products in the US. Steal aerospace IP, work to shut off Chinese suppliers of products - not always possible, I know. Some of this is already done and it is just a misconception about our policies. The US has prevented China from entering the US (https://www.ft.com/content/b3bfe924-185 ... c814761640) and has all but banned Huwei going forward. This gets to the heart of the issue, not blunt tariffs.

The US has also done really well by operating in China. Certainly there have been issues, but the China market, and labor has been very beneficial for the U.S. People fail to look at the entire picture. A couple of examples being Yum brands, Ford/GM (no matter how much China tries to support the industry, they continue to fail), Nike, Apple, just to name a few. There is even a cola war in China.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/business ... 5c4664c638

Re: If trump keeps tweeting about chinese tariffs

Posted: Thu Apr 12, 2018 8:04 pm
by cwtcr hokie
TheH2 wrote:
TheH2 wrote:
Jack Galt wrote:
VisorBoy wrote:
cwtcr hokie wrote:
ElbertoHokie wrote:for the next 2 months, whether he actually enacts them or not, it's going to be rocky on Wall Street.
Or the Chinese could open their markets and stop making it so difficult for US companies to operate there and stop subsidizing some of their industries which makes our products not competitive. Maybe while they are at it they can adhere to the same epa rules we do and the same labor rules. just a thought
There are better ways to go about that than tariff wars. Ask nearly any economist.

Also, your talking points are a bit dated. China's improvements in environmental policy are notable.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/14/opin ... wrong.html
Fake News seems to disagree about smog in China, just 4 days later.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/wor ... 046241001/

So, would you provide some suggestions, other than tariffs, to be able to better protect the intellectual property generated here and exploited by China, as well as addressing the trade imbalance with China? TIA.
First, the trade imbalance is meaningless. We consume more than we produce, therefore, we have a trade deficit. China makes a lot of stuff that we don't, that's not changing. There are also examples as to why the number is actually wrong. For example, the iphone is assembled in China but produced around Asia. The full deficit is attributed to China. Also, mfg is about 1/3 of the retail value of the iphone, which is a huge net benefit to the US, while still adding to the trade deficit.

Second, the tariffs were crude and ill timed. For example, China has significantly reduced its supply of steel over the last couple years. So, where historically one could point to dumping, that isn't the case anymore. Also, mfg is about 10% of the US economy. Therefore, a 10% boost to mfg only boosts GDP by 1%. Now consider that steel will directly effect several industries including construction, auto, aero; the idea of saving a couple thousand jobs to the detriment of several industries is not good policy.

There are plenty of steps the US could take. The first would have been to sign the TPP. Since tariffs are actually quite low on trade, the goal of TPP was to reduce state support. This is the heart of the issue with China. The US could set the table for trade between a lot of Asia, and work to get China into the deal. Other approaches could be more targeted. Let's address the problem - IP theft, not just add tariffs to random products. We have a mass market as well and could suspend the use of products in the US. Steal aerospace IP, work to shut off Chinese suppliers of products - not always possible, I know. Some of this is already done and it is just a misconception about our policies. The US has prevented China from entering the US (https://www.ft.com/content/b3bfe924-185 ... c814761640) and has all but banned Huwei going forward. This gets to the heart of the issue, not blunt tariffs.

The US has also done really well by operating in China. Certainly there have been issues, but the China market, and labor has been very beneficial for the U.S. People fail to look at the entire picture. A couple of examples being Yum brands, Ford/GM (no matter how much China tries to support the industry, they continue to fail), Nike, Apple, just to name a few. There is even a cola war in China.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/business ... 5c4664c638
ok, on fair terms as the article says, it it not the give away the farm Obummer terms

Re: If trump keeps tweeting about chinese tariffs

Posted: Thu Apr 12, 2018 8:34 pm
by TheH2
cwtcr hokie wrote:
TheH2 wrote:
TheH2 wrote:
Jack Galt wrote:
VisorBoy wrote:
cwtcr hokie wrote:
Or the Chinese could open their markets and stop making it so difficult for US companies to operate there and stop subsidizing some of their industries which makes our products not competitive. Maybe while they are at it they can adhere to the same epa rules we do and the same labor rules. just a thought
There are better ways to go about that than tariff wars. Ask nearly any economist.

Also, your talking points are a bit dated. China's improvements in environmental policy are notable.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/14/opin ... wrong.html
Fake News seems to disagree about smog in China, just 4 days later.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/wor ... 046241001/

So, would you provide some suggestions, other than tariffs, to be able to better protect the intellectual property generated here and exploited by China, as well as addressing the trade imbalance with China? TIA.
First, the trade imbalance is meaningless. We consume more than we produce, therefore, we have a trade deficit. China makes a lot of stuff that we don't, that's not changing. There are also examples as to why the number is actually wrong. For example, the iphone is assembled in China but produced around Asia. The full deficit is attributed to China. Also, mfg is about 1/3 of the retail value of the iphone, which is a huge net benefit to the US, while still adding to the trade deficit.

Second, the tariffs were crude and ill timed. For example, China has significantly reduced its supply of steel over the last couple years. So, where historically one could point to dumping, that isn't the case anymore. Also, mfg is about 10% of the US economy. Therefore, a 10% boost to mfg only boosts GDP by 1%. Now consider that steel will directly effect several industries including construction, auto, aero; the idea of saving a couple thousand jobs to the detriment of several industries is not good policy.

There are plenty of steps the US could take. The first would have been to sign the TPP. Since tariffs are actually quite low on trade, the goal of TPP was to reduce state support. This is the heart of the issue with China. The US could set the table for trade between a lot of Asia, and work to get China into the deal. Other approaches could be more targeted. Let's address the problem - IP theft, not just add tariffs to random products. We have a mass market as well and could suspend the use of products in the US. Steal aerospace IP, work to shut off Chinese suppliers of products - not always possible, I know. Some of this is already done and it is just a misconception about our policies. The US has prevented China from entering the US (https://www.ft.com/content/b3bfe924-185 ... c814761640) and has all but banned Huwei going forward. This gets to the heart of the issue, not blunt tariffs.

The US has also done really well by operating in China. Certainly there have been issues, but the China market, and labor has been very beneficial for the U.S. People fail to look at the entire picture. A couple of examples being Yum brands, Ford/GM (no matter how much China tries to support the industry, they continue to fail), Nike, Apple, just to name a few. There is even a cola war in China.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/business ... 5c4664c638
ok, on fair terms as the article says, it it not the give away the farm Obummer terms
Please explain the give away in the TPP.